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Spatio-temporal dynamics, competition and predation of mangroves through the KiWi model
Van Nedervelde, F.; Berger, U.; Cannicci, S.; Dahdouh-Guebas, F. (2009). Spatio-temporal dynamics, competition and predation of mangroves through the KiWi model, in: Dahdouh-Guebas, F. et al. Proceedings of the Symposium African Botany in Brussels. pp. 113
In: Dahdouh-Guebas, F. et al. (2009). Proceedings of the Symposium African Botany in Brussels. Université libre de Bruxelles - ULB / Vrije Universiteit Brussel - VUB: Belgium. 120 + 10 annex. pp.
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Document type: Summary
Authors  Top 
  • Van Nedervelde, F.
  • Berger, U.
  • Cannicci, S.
  • Dahdouh-Guebas, F., more
Abstract
    Mangroves offer food items and construction wood to local inhabitants of tropical and subtropical coastal developing countries, they possess a unique biodiversity, and they protect adjacent coastal ecosystems such as seagrass beds and coral reefs. Mangrove ecosystems world-wide have considerably been damaged over the past decennia and they are considered vulnerable ecosystems in view of climate change. In this study we will use KiWi, an individual-based model, to consider the neighbouring competition amongst trees. We will use this model to analyse and predict spatio-temporal dynamics of mangrove forests through different future scenarios of local or global change. For that we need to observe and analyse the present interactions between plants, between plants and abiotic factors, between plant and animals (herbivorous crabs), and finally between plants and humans. To validate the suggested future evolutions, we will use a retrospective basis of past evolution through maps, satellite images, and field inventories. The presentation gives an outline of the research framework and data to be integrated, but it is too early to provide results as the research is on-going.
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