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A risk-based approach to cumulative effect assessments for marine management
Stelzenmüller, V.; Coll, M.; Mazaris, A.D.; Giakoumi, S.; Katsanevakis, S.; Portman, M.E.; Degen, R.; Mackelworth, P.; Gimpel, A.; Albano, P.G.; Almpanidou, V.; Claudet, J.; Essl, F.; Evagelopoulos, T.; Heymans, J.J.; Genov, T.; Kark, S.; Micheli, F.; Pennino, M.G.; Rilov, G.; Rumes, B.; Steenbeek, J.; Ojaveer, H. (2018). A risk-based approach to cumulative effect assessments for marine management. Sci. Total Environ. 612: 1132-1140. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.08.289
In: Science of the Total Environment. Elsevier: Amsterdam. ISSN 0048-9697; e-ISSN 1879-1026
Peer reviewed article  
Available in  Authors 
Author keywords
    Risk management process; Science-policy interface; Standardized framework; Terminology; Tools; Uncertainty
Authors  Top 
  • Stelzenmüller, V.
  • Coll, M.
  • Mazaris, A.D.
  • Giakoumi, S.
  • Katsanevakis, S.
  • Portman, M.E.
  • Degen, R.
  • Mackelworth, P.
  • Gimpel, A.
  • Albano, P.G.
  • Almpanidou, V.
  • Claudet, J.
  • Essl, F.
  • Evagelopoulos, T.
  • Heymans, J.J.
  • Genov, T.
  • Kark, S.
  • Micheli, F.
  • Pennino, M.G.
  • Rilov, G.
  • Rumes, B.
  • Steenbeek, J.
  • Ojaveer, H.
Abstract
    Marine ecosystems are increasingly threatened by the cumulative effects of multiple human pressures. Cumulative effect assessments (CEAs) are needed to inform environmental policy and guide ecosystem-based management. Yet, CEAs are inherently complex and seldom linked to real-world management processes. Therefore we propose entrenching CEAs in a risk management process, comprising the steps of risk identification, risk analysis and risk evaluation. We provide guidance to operationalize a risk-based approach to CEAs by describing for each step guiding principles and desired outcomes, scientific challenges and practical solutions. We reviewed the treatment of uncertainty in CEAs and the contribution of different tools and data sources to the implementation of a risk based approach to CEAs. We show that a risk-based approach to CEAs decreases complexity, allows for the transparent treatment of uncertainty and streamlines the uptake of scientific outcomes into the science-policy interface. Hence, its adoption can help bridging the gap between science and decision-making in ecosystem-based management.
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